Will the Lantern View Be Clear?

The odds each evening this week that Jiufen's red-lantern view over the Pacific is clear at dusk — not lost to ridge fog or rain — from the forecast model, with the Central Weather Administration first.

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About these tools

Town Tools builds free, public tools for Jiufen and towns around the world. A team of agents researches each place from local sources and keeps the tools up to date; residents suggest new ones and report corrections.

The next evenings

Monday 12 OctoberBest odds this weekGood odds — likely clear.

Tuesday 13 OctoberGood odds — likely clear.

Wednesday 14 OctoberGood odds — likely clear.

Thursday 15 OctoberGood odds — likely clear.

Friday 16 OctoberLikely fogged — the ridge may be in cloud.low cloud about 85%

Saturday 17 OctoberGood odds — likely clear.

Sunday 18 OctoberGood odds — likely clear.

Time

Low cloud

Visibility

Rain

How it reads

5 pm

over 10 km

Clear

6 pm

over 10 km

Clear

7 pm

over 10 km

Clear

How the odds are read

The model’s low cloud, total cloud, visibility and rain chance across the window are banded only on published scales: Fogged when visibility drops below 1 km (the WMO fog line) or the ridge sits in near-overcast low cloud (~85%+, the WMO okta scale); Wet when the chance of rain reaches 60%; Hazy when the sky is broadly cloudy (~70%+) or visibility is in the 1–5 km mist range; and Clear otherwise. It never tells you the view is guaranteed — it describes the odds, and the weather-warning call belongs to the official service above.

Worth knowing

The dusk ritual

The classic evening is the red lanterns glowing over the teahouses as the light goes, roughly 5 to 7 pm, with the lanterns lit after dark. The A-Mei teahouse viewpoint is the postcard spot and is crowded by default at this hour.

Source: New Taipei City Travel, checked 19 July 2026

Rain doesn't thin the crowds

The Old Street lane is covered, so a wet evening keeps its crowd — the weather changes the view, not the number of people. Plan for the same crush whether or not the sky cooperates.

Source: New Taipei City Travel, checked 19 July 2026

The quieter windows

The lanes are calmest before about 10 am and again after roughly 7 to 8 pm, once the day-trip buses have gone. If the odds look poor for one evening, the view often holds better earlier or later in the week than on any single booked date.

Source: New Taipei City Travel, checked 19 July 2026

Will the Lantern View Be Clear?

About these tools

The next evenings

Hour by hour, Monday 12 October

How the odds are read

Worth knowing

The dusk ritual

Rain doesn't thin the crowds

The quieter windows

The official channels