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Off the Moyne River mouth · 3.0 m · 10 ft · wind W 26 km/h
Live wave, swell and wind off Port Fairy — the conditions the cray and abalone boats, and anyone taking a small boat out through the Moyne River mouth, read before they go. These are open-water model forecasts; the bar at the river mouth can be far rougher than the open sea, and it moves. Check again before you leave the wharf.
The bar is the real danger, not the open sea
The bar — where the Southern Ocean swell stands up over the shifting sand at the Moyne River mouth — is far more dangerous than the open water these numbers describe, and it shifts with each dredging and each big swell. A workable forecast offshore does not mean a workable bar. Watch it cross before you commit, wear a lifejacket, log on with Marine Rescue, and if it is breaking hard across the entrance, wait.
Why the morning is usually the window
Port Fairy is exposed and windy nearly year-round; the sea breeze and afternoon wind build the chop, so the calmest water is most often early in the day. The wettest, windiest stretch is winter, around August.
Off the Moyne River mouth
The open water just outside the training walls and Griffiths Island, facing the Southern Ocean swell. This is the sea the fleet crosses the bar into — exposed and windy most of the year, calmest first thing in the morning.
Very rough — the bar will be breaking hard
Waves
3.0 m · 10 ft
Swell
9s from the SW
Wind
26 km/h from the W — cross-shore
Sea temperature
15.3°C
Next few days
Day
Waves
Wind
Looks like
Tue, 13 Oct
3.6 m · 12 ft
22 km/h SW (onshore)
Very rough — the bar will be breaking hard
Wed, 14 Oct
3.0 m · 10 ft
16 km/h SE (cross-shore)
Very rough — the bar will be breaking hard
Thu, 15 Oct
2.0 m · 6 ft
16 km/h ESE (cross-shore)
Rough — dangerous at the bar, many crews stay in
Fri, 16 Oct
1.3 m · 4 ft
16 km/h NE (offshore)
Building — the bar will be breaking; cross with care
Sat, 17 Oct
0.9 m · 3 ft
14 km/h NNE (offshore)
A workable sea — watch the bar on the way out and back
A forecast is not the bar
These are open-water model forecasts, not what the river-mouth bar is doing — the bar can be far more dangerous than the open sea, and it shifts. Wear a life jacket, tell someone your plan, and if the bar is breaking hard, wait. In an emergency on the water call Triple Zero (000) and ask for the Police, or call for help on marine VHF Channel 16.
Forecast updated 12 October at 10:52 pm. Weather and marine data by Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).